The
End of American Democracy?
January
9, 2023
Republicans now
control the United States House of Representatives. They have elected representative
Kevin McCarthy of California Speaker of the House, the person who stands third
in line to the presidency of the United States. It took them fifteen ballots to
do it, and to win, McCarthy had to convince six extreme Trumpist
representatives to vote “Present” rather than vote against him. He was elected
with only 216 yes votes, less than a majority of House members. It is not
entirely clear how much McCarthy had to sell out to those six extremists
(although I’m reluctant to call them that because McCarthy and nearly every
Republican representative is an extremist in their own right) to get them not
to vote against him. We do know at least that he agreed to a change in the
House rules that will allow any representative to move at any time for the
removal of the Speaker, something that would only tie up the House in a total
waste of time and stop any constructive work from being done (not that I expect
Republicans to do any constructive work in any event, which I don’t). It is
clear that in order to satisfy his ego drive to be Speaker, McCarthy had to
give the crazy extremists of his party essential veto power over all
legislation. The Republican majority in the house is so small, 222 to 213, that
five Republicans voting against any bill would stop it from passing as long as
all Democrats also voted against it. In theory, I suppose, that gives some
power to the Democrats, for if enough of them to offset the no votes of the
Republican crazies voted for a bill, it just might pass. Still, as a practical
matter, the six Republicans who voted “Present,” Biggs, Boebert, Crane, Gaetz,
Good, and Rosendale, not Speaker McCarthy, will control what happens and what
doesn’t happen in the House of Representatives for the next two years.
Because even the
majority of the Republican representatives are themselves right-wing
extremists, and because of the power of the “Present” six, the prospects for
American democracy over at least the next two years are dire at best. The
Republicans have all vowed to slash spending on Social Security and Medicare,
vital programs for millions of Americans, myself included, that we all pay for
our entire working lives. They have said that they will waste immense amounts
of their time and our money investigating what they call the “weaponization” of
the FBI and the Department of Justice. By “weaponization” they mean that those
agencies have been doing their legal and constitutional jobs of investigating
possible criminal acts by the Republicans’ baby, former president Donald Trump.
Never mind that there is more than adequate evidence against Trump not just to
justify but to demand such investigations. The FBI and DOJ are not acting
politically in those investigations. The House Republicans will be acting
politically, and despicably, when they conduct investigations of those agencies,
investigations in support of which there is not one shred of objective
evidence.
Yet that will
probably not be the worst thing these House Republicans will do. There is one
thing Congress must routinely do that Republicans have long complained about
but in the end have done. It is to raise the federal government’s debt limit.
Borrowing is the only way the federal government can pay its bills, a fact that
results primarily from the way Republican Congresses and presidents have
slashed taxes for wealthy people and corporations, something they have done
every time they have had the chance since at least 1981. The debt is mostly the
Republicans’ fault, but that doesn’t mean they will vote to allow the
government to keep servicing it.
It is highly
unlikely that this Republican-controlled House will vote to raise the federal
government’s debt limit. Without an increase in the debt limit, the United
States will have no choice but to default on the payments on prior national
borrowing it is obligated to make and fail to make other payments it is legally
required to make. When that happens, the US economy will collapse, probably at
least to at least Depression-era levels. That will cause the entire world
economy to collapse. The US federal government will essentially be unable to
function at all. Failure to raise the national debt limit will have the effect
of destroying the country’s national government.
That is precisely
what the craziest of the Republicans want. Doing it is why they ran for
Congress in the first place. It is why millions of ignorant Americans voted for
them, something I am utterly incapable of understanding. Do that many Americans
care about nothing but their own tax bill and say to hell with every other
consideration? Apparently so. Do so many Americans either not care that their
representatives refuse to condemn the seditious conspiracy Donald Trump led
against the United States’ constitution and government that led to a deadly
assault by Trump’s followers on the United States Capitol in an attempt to stop
the peaceful transfer of power to the next duly elected president? Apparently not.
Do so many Americans not care that their darling boy Donald calls white
supremacists fine people and treats women as sex objects? Apparently not. Do so
many Americans not care that their darling Donald cozies up to murderous
dictators like Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un and wants to be such a dictator
himself? Apparently not.
All of these
truths and many others create a situation in which the survival of our American
form of democracy, such as it is, may well not survive much longer. If the
Congressional Trumpists succeed in destroying our federal government, as they
seem hellbent on doing, a right-wing, neo-fascist coup against that government
and the constitution that creates it is a virtual certainty. The chaos and
hardships that will result from the collapse of our government and constitution
will lead millions upon millions of frightened Americans to welcome such a coup.
The inability of
the Weimar Republic to cope with Germany’s problems in the late 1920s and early
1930s led to Hitler and his genocidal, militaristic, aggressive regime that got
much of the world involved in the largest war in human history and killed tens
of millions of people. The inability of the tsarist government to deal with
Russia’s problems in the late 19th and early 20th
centuries led to the Bolshevik coup of 1917 and the horror of Stalinist
Communism that followed. Such a disastrous turn of events is, I fear, a real
possibility that we face in the United States today.
It won’t do to
say it can’t happen here, that we’re so different from other people that we
would never do what they did. Our country was, after all, built largely through
the enslavement and dehumanization of millions of Black human beings and
genocide against the American Indians; and we remain a deeply racist culture to
this day. We do, after all, maintain a military establishment orders of
magnitude bigger than we need. We have, after all, been an imperialist country
for most of our existence. We have, even in very recent times, conducted illegal
wars of aggression and committed an untold number of murders around the world.
The horror of a violent, dictatorial takeover of our country truly is a real
possibility today.
Am I overreacting
to ordinary politicians and ordinary political policies with which I don’t
agree? I don’t think so. The Republican Party today is no longer a normal,
legitimate American political party. It is a cult of personality beholden only
to Donald Trump. Republican policies today are no longer ordinary, legitimate
political policies. They are policies designed only to gain power for the sake
only of power and to damage and even destroy the lives of millions upon
millions of Americans. The Republican Party used to stand for small government,
low taxes, and a large military establishment. Most Republicans no doubt still
support those unfortunate policies, but those things are no longer what their
party is primarily about. It is primarily about only two things—power for the
party and power for Donald Trump. Because that is what the Republican Party has
devolved to, it may very well lead to the destruction of American democracy. I
pray that it will not happen, but as long as people keep voting for Republicans
there is probably no way to stop it. It may, in fact, already be too late.
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